What is the equation now?

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What is the equation now?

Post by brmtaylor.com admin »

That is the game we NEEDED to win (a relief we finally had a win that didn't come down to the last over too).

How many results do we need to go our way now?

West Indies def. Scotland
Ireland def. Scotland
Zimbabwe def. United Arab Emirates

Is there anything else?

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Re: What is the equation now?

Post by ZIMDOGGY »

We win #1 one game we are mathematically assured.
Not to sound rude at all, because every scenario in my head tells me it’s that simple
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Re: What is the equation now?

Post by eugene »

Is there any sequence that can cause us to miss out on qualification even if we beat one of the UAE/Windies? Surely 7 points is enough?
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Re: What is the equation now?

Post by ZIMDOGGY »

Just to add to my last point, I base this on my fact WI v Scotland is still to come, there’s no rain. So there can be only one winner
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Re: What is the equation now?

Post by TapsC »

If we beat Afghanistan we cant miss out because Scotland and the West Indies still have to play each other. I hope I'm right but from what I looked at that's what's in our favour.

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Re: What is the equation now?

Post by ZIMDOGGY »

eugene wrote:
Fri Mar 16, 2018 2:28 pm
Is there any sequence that can cause us to miss out on qualification even if we beat one of the UAE/Windies? Surely 7 points is enough?
Scotland win 2x against Irish and UAE with a better NRR.
UAE and Ireland

On the other hand. WI Romp home against Scotland and us
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Re: What is the equation now?

Post by ZIMDOGGY »

TapsC wrote:
Fri Mar 16, 2018 2:31 pm
If we beat Afghanistan we cant miss out because Scotland and the West Indies still have to play each other. I hope I'm right but from what I looked at that's what's in our favour.
Wrong on two levels
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Re: What is the equation now?

Post by brmtaylor.com admin »

eugene wrote:
Fri Mar 16, 2018 2:28 pm
Is there any sequence that can cause us to miss out on qualification even if we beat one of the UAE/Windies? Surely 7 points is enough?
The best Zimbabwe and Scotland can do is 9.

The best West Indies can do is 8.

The best Ireland and Afghanistan can do are 6.

---

Scotland and West Indies have a game against each other. So really it can either only be (at best):

- Scotland 9 / West Indies 6; or
- Scotland 7 / West Indies 8.

In that second scenario, if Scotland have a big win over Ireland and their NRR is higher than Zim then they'd qualify with West Indies.

As I understand it.

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Re: What is the equation now?

Post by ZIMFAN »

If Scot beat WI, then the max WI can get is 6 by beating is.

I think it ZD is correct, win one of the last two we are in.

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Re: What is the equation now?

Post by ZIMFAN »

Sorry rereading brtadmin's he might be right! Fucking confusing.

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