What is the equation now?

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jaybro
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Re: What is the equation now?

Post by jaybro »

Ireland's win over Scotland mean's we pretty much just have to beat UAE to go through, if we beat them we're on 7 points

Ireland on 4 points with 1 game to go MAX 6 points

Scotland on 5 points with 1 game to go MAX 7 points

Windies on 4 points with 2 games to go MAX 8 points

Afghanistan on 2 points with 2 games to go MAX 6 points

UAE on 0 points with 2 games to go MAX 4 points

So they key thing to remember is that the Windies and Scotland play each other so only one of those sides can reach their MAX points so if we beat UAE only 1 of the Windies or Scotland can equal or surpass us. If we beat the Windies we are through also and this result would blow the tournament right open and keep the Irish and Afghans in the fight.

AT this stage it looks like Scotland and Windies playing off for the last spot
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ZIMDOGGY
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Re: What is the equation now?

Post by ZIMDOGGY »

We can technically still make it if we lose both games.

If this happens, we are in if we lose both games.

UAE V Afg =UAE
Ire V afg= AFG
Scotland v Windies= Windies

This means the table will be

Windies=8
Zim= 5 (NRR better)
Scotland=5
Ireland=4
AFG=4
UAE=4

Its a stretch to think the UAE beat the afghans, but alaso remember UAE have knocked us over in this scenario too so its possible if this situation materialises.
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Re: What is the equation now?

Post by jimbo »

Think we will knock over the windies. Cremer and chisoro the main architects

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jaybro
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Re: What is the equation now?

Post by jaybro »

jimbo wrote:
Sun Mar 18, 2018 11:03 pm
Think we will knock over the windies. Cremer and chisoro the main architects
Yeah for some reason I'm really confident about the Windies game but very nervous about the UAE game. The Emirates are a dangerous and un-predictable side their batting is very good and if they win the toss bat first - get the right pitch - get a decent total then their spinners will come into the game.

Their bowling isn't that crash hot but if they can get 220-250 on a slowing pitch their part time Cabbies ( as the Dogg would say ) will be a handful.
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Re: What is the equation now?

Post by brmtaylor.com admin »

There's rain predicted for Harare today.

I think a washout would secure us a spot... The only ways it wouldn't would have been if Scotland won yesterday. (or if Afghanistan really thump some teams and make up the NRR difference)

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zimbos_05
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Re: What is the equation now?

Post by zimbos_05 »

If we want a washout, we would probably want it against the Windies. Surely we can back ourselves against UAE

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Re: What is the equation now?

Post by foreignfield »

brmtaylor.com admin wrote:
Mon Mar 19, 2018 6:05 am
There's rain predicted for Harare today.

I think a washout would secure us a spot... The only ways it wouldn't would have been if Scotland won yesterday. (or if Afghanistan really thump some teams and make up the NRR difference)
You forget that Irland can also get to 6 points if they beat Afg, and their NRR is still goodish.

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Re: What is the equation now?

Post by brmtaylor.com admin »

Can someone work out the equation now for:

- A washout vs UAE
- A loss vs UAE

???

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Re: What is the equation now?

Post by foreignfield »

brmtaylor.com admin wrote:
Mon Mar 19, 2018 3:16 pm
Can someone work out the equation now for:

- A washout vs UAE
- A loss vs UAE

???
As far as I can see, and please point out flaws in my thinking:

A washout against UAE puts us on 6 points. This would put us in contention for the second qualifying spot on NRR: Depending on results we could be joined on 6 points by Windies (loss to Scotl.), Ireland or Afg.

A loss against the UAE leaves us with two outs: In either case Scotland need to lose against the Windies and join us on 5 points (at the same time we need to preserve our NRR advantage); to make sure that neither Ireland or Afg reach 6 points we either need a washout/tie in their match (which could put both sides level on 5 points with us, and again we need to preserve our NRR advantage) or Afg to lose to UAE and then beat Ireland (this puts Afg, Ireland and UAE on 4 points).

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Re: What is the equation now?

Post by sloandog »

:( my head hurts

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