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Our Test Bowling Attack

Posted: Fri Nov 18, 2011 11:16 am
by FlowerPower
On an earlier thread there was debate as to who to go with in attack (I will limit this to test although we can talk ODI as well, for me there is not enough sanity in T20 to talk strategy (for me its what bubble gum is to food, entertaining but devoid of any real value...I digress) so read my contribution to exclude that format).

I read Mickey Arthur's assessment of the upcoming battle between the Proteas and the Aussies, and specifically his assesment of the Protea attack:
You mentioned that Tahir could make his debut. What can we expect from South Africa's attack?
Steyn and Morkel are getting better and better. The key will be the third seamer if they want to play the legspinner. By all accounts it looks as though they will be playing Tahir instead of Paul Harris. Harris did a really good job for us at one time. He performed his role to unbelievable ability. He did everything that we wanted from him. He stopped the game for us. He allowed our strikers to come on and strike. But that attack changes when you have a legspinner, because the legspinner becomes a strike bowler and the third seamer has to become a workhorse. It will be interesting to see who they pick there; I suspect it will be Tsotsobe....

http://www.espncricinfo.com/magazine/co ... 37005.html
He was obviously wrong as Philander was preferred with good results, but one could say the Proteas were fortunate in that the Aussies imploded, and hence Tahir and an attacking Philander were not tested, one wonders what today holds in store today, and should the Aussies click and therefore attack what then happens? With Creamer returning I tend to see our attack shaping up pretty much the same way. On that backdrop I’d like to analyse our own Test bowling attack, the strategies and the options at our disposal.

Attacking Pace:

Mpofu (age 26):

195 FC wickets from 71 matches at an average of 31.37 and a SR of 53.8,
68 ODI wickets from 62 matches at an average 37.75 and SR of 43.4 and economy of 5.21
20 Test wickets from 9 matches at an average 44.45 and SR of 72.4

Our most experienced bowler. He does not possess amazing pace, but has built up a repertoire of tricks, with a good slow ball, but does tend to be guilty of trying to do too much. I feel if he took a leaf off the older version of Pollock and McGrath, Stuart Clark, Munif Patel and accept that its consistency and nagging accuracy that will get him results as a medium pacer, he really will be the mainstay of the attack, not to mention longevity. A point in case is the New Zealand Test first innings I think, where he went back to basics, and I remember Psych Nkala, actually saying he seems to lack zest, and seems to be going through the motions only for him to get 4 wickets. He play both attacking or containing role, but I see him better in the latter as his SR will attest.

Jarvis (age 22):

33 FC wickets from 11 matches at an average of 30.9 and a SR of 53.8,
14 ODI wickets from 13 matches at an average 45.14 and SR of 43.2 and economy of 6.26
13 Test wickets from 3 matches at an average 29.69 and SR of 49.6

The kid is an obvious talent, and no amount of experience argument can exclude him from any line up. He has pace and seems to be getting the requisite control. Early days yet, but I tend to see his Test career being his stronger suite (very much like Dale Steyn). He can only get better with experience and age.

Vitori(age 21):

45 FC wickets from 20 matches at an average of 38.13 and a SR of 59.0,
12 ODI wickets from 5 matches at an average 16.66 and SR of 23.2 and economy of 4.3
5 Test wickets from 2 matches at an average 48 and SR of 78

Had a dream start o his career, but quickly leveled down. I think left arm quick, makes him a useful variation to our attack, and anyone discounting his usefulness is not being objective. Is he class? He certainly has the potential. Is he the finished article? No, by far, no one can claim to have arrived after a season of FC and a couple of series, plenty of work yet, but I am excited by the prospect. A lot will depend on how he comes back from his injury, but I think his premature demise is vastly exaggerated. I see him and Jarvis forming a good partnership for a long time to come. I just fear having both at the same time due to their lack of experience.

Meth (age 23):

99 FC wickets from 24 matches at an average of 16.87 and a SR of 39.6,
5 ODI wickets from 10 matches at an average 74.2 and SR of 72.8 and economy of 6.11

I know many have been clamoring for his inclusion, and I am one of those too. He seems to have had all sorts of misfortunes. A talented medium pacer who relies on swing (both ways) to snare his victims. Looking at his figures I can’t help but think he is more suited to the longer form of the game, as opposed to the shorter, not only based on his ODI stats (average of 74.2 and SR of 72.8) but also a comparison between his List A, which isn’t terrible (average of 31.39 and SR of 40.9) and FC (average of 16.87 and SR of 39.6) seems to paint a similar story. Of his 10 ODI outings he seems to be okay without being outstanding and reading too much into 10 matches is futile.

Rainsford(age 27)

194 FC wickets from 60 matches at an average of 20.86 and a SR of 44.8,
45 ODI wickets from 39 matches at an average 31.13 and SR of 42.3 and economy of 4.4
[EDITED]

For me this guy has earned a shot at Test. Is he better than the incumbents? May be not, but how do we know for a fact. He seems to be able to contain or attack. I am not too sure what his strength is, but an ODI economy rate of 4.4 and a decent average of 31.1 seems to indicate a decent bowler, his FC average is even more impressive (20.86) and after 194 matches this is hardly inflationary.

Querl (age 23):

25 FC wickets from 3 matches at an average of 12.44 and a SR of 32.5!
33 List A wickets from 26 matches at an average of 30.21 and a SR of 33.9,

Early days yet, but you’d have to be blind not to have noticed the lad has something about him, is it because of our inferior FC or is he that good, I think a run in the A team would clear this up, also I’d like to see another season. If for some reason Vitori were not to make NZ, there would be huge temptation to sneak him in, but I’d rather have inexperienced rookies fast tracked as an exception, and Querl, after Vitori and Ncube would be very much accepting picking flavor of the month as a norm, which would for me be the wrong way to go. But having said that I’m excited, maybe give him a go at T20 or an ODI or 2, and take it from there. (and he can bat a bit!)

Ncube (age 22):

80 FC wickets from 38 matches at an average of 34.46 and a SR of 69.5,
3 ODI wickets from 1 matche at an average 23 and SR of 17.6 and economy of 7.81
1 Test wickets from 1 matche at an average 121 and SR of 210.0

Without defending the poor boy, (which I seem to be doing each time I write about him), I think he has been unfairly treated by the forum, and I can understand why (but I don’t necessarily condone it), firstly in most people’s eyes (including myself) he should have never been given a Test cap before Meth, I have little argument against that. What seems to fail me is that after being given the opportunity he gleefully took it and did I think ok if not relatively well, taking into account he took 3 NZ wickets which had almost eluded all before him. This earned him a test call I believe where without doing spectacularly he put his fair share earning a wicket. Is he exceptional? No. Is he terrible? Far from it. What role do I see him playing, I think he is a bit in between, a container and attacker, I don’t think he is the finished article, but baring in mind his age I think he is worth keeping in the system and in mind.

Masakadza (25):

143 FC wickets from 36 matches at an average of 21.86 and a SR of 42.2,
11 ODI wickets from 7 matches at an average 37.27 and SR of 28.1 and economy of 7.93

Based on stats alone this is a strike bowler, not the most economical, but takes wickets. Is he a stand out bowler? He is a strike bowler that’s for sure, but you almost tend to worry about the leaked runs, but I wouldn’t categorically dismiss him.

Slow Bowling Options

I don’t think we are as blessed (surprisingly!) in this area as we are the pace.
Price is the king here, both experience and achievement, but Cremer, a different bowler (for one he’s a legbreak, and infinitely more attacking and wont just fill in the overs!) is the heir apparent, then there is Utseya if we want to continue in the Price trajectory, which below I suggest we detour off. As supporting acts there are the legbreaks of Marumo and Mushangwe. Lamb for me is an allrounder and not a specialist bowler as is Waller and Chigumbura.

Looking at the bowlers who have been in the role (incumbents), those knocking on the door for honours, and the up and coming. I elicite your ideas as well on this interesting department of our growing team.

Incumbents:

Pace: Mpofu, Jarvis ,Vitori; Slow Bowling: Price

Challengers

Pace: Meth(23), Rainsford(27), Querl(23), Chinouya(25), Masakadza(25) , Nicolson(25)
Slow Bowling: Creamer(25), Utseya(26)

Up and coming

These guys have plenty of time and promise, I would recommend we nurture them, and expose them to as much FC and A tours as possible, they are the future and there really is no need to rush them through, the only problem is the ages of our incumbents, 21, 22, and 25 which when compared to these guys, doesn’t augur well for their futures if the incumbents have long careers, a bit like McGill and Warne, McGrath and Stuart Clark, etc..

Pace: Ncube(22), Chatara(20)
Slow Bowling: Mushangwe(20), Marumo(23)

I remember hhm campaigning for Panyangara, Rainsford and I forget the third...I tend to think like Mickey. I think we have bowlers to allow us the variety, we can attack with Creamer, Vitori and Jarvis and ask Mpofu to focus on holding, unlike the Proteas this might work better than having an all out attack, in hindsight I suspect Tsotsobe sounds a bit of a missed opportunity…time will tell.
Please feel free to add your favourite bowler if I have missed them, along the lines I have done above, stats, followed by analysis. More importantly what is your 4 man attack, and preferably why?

Re: Our Test Bowling Attack

Posted: Fri Nov 18, 2011 12:35 pm
by ZIMDOGGY
That's deep!

Re: Our Test Bowling Attack

Posted: Fri Nov 18, 2011 12:55 pm
by Flower power
Good analysis Power ......

Re: Our Test Bowling Attack

Posted: Fri Nov 18, 2011 1:15 pm
by hhm
You might want to revise some of the Rainsford stats.

I simply do not understand why you have excluded Chigumbura on the basis of being an allrounder(which he's clearly failing at) when, in many spells, he showed that he can outbowl both Jarvis&Vitori (by a distance) during the Bangadesh test match. Even Kallis&Watson are in the team as bowlers as much as they are in there as batsmen. Admittedly they are in a far superior class to Elton as far as batting is concerned, but the balance of their sides' attacks hinge on their presence. I'm sorry my friend but if anybody hasn't noticed it yet, as with them, Elton is the first name on the team sheet where our seam attack is concerned. All of Mpofu, Jarvis & Vitori can be dropped but by virtue of his batting plus his good bowling Elton will hardly be dropped.

Although you mentioned him a bit at the bottom, I'm hugely disappointed that you left out Panyangara in your list of pace bowlers. Probably one of our most experienced Test bowlers as it stands, with an extremely good ODI economy rate considering the calibre of sides he bowled to for the most part. That guy is a proven new ball bowler and you cannot write him off (unless you underestimate the value of taking the new ball). His FC(&ListA) stats so far this season are pretty good, and he's handled a strong Tuskers&Rhinos batting lineup quite well. Remember, it only takes a few more wickets before most guys soften up to him(and Duffin) again, as with Matsi, Ewing & Rainsford of whom many had strictly and rudely written off.

Elton & Panyangara should be there especially if you even consider Shingi, Ncube, Nicholson & Querl. You havent even put him among the challengers!

The stats are there for you to examine so I won't state figures, but my 4 man attack is 1st: Mpofu, Rainsford, Elton, Price (2nd: Jarvis, Panyangara, Vitori, Cremer). If fit Elton will always be in and we should all accept it - afterall he's done very well as a bowler. So it's down to the other two seamers, and I can never choose Jarvis over Mpofu&Rainsford. With better sides to come I would put them ahead. Then again I wouldn't argue too much if the selectors gave him the nod - he's done well so far. Depending on conditions he can be the fourth seamer.

Re: Our Test Bowling Attack

Posted: Fri Nov 18, 2011 1:29 pm
by takleg
I don't think Ian Nicolson deserves to be labelled a 'challenger' as he has been poor this season for the Rhinos.

Re: Our Test Bowling Attack

Posted: Fri Nov 18, 2011 2:05 pm
by FlowerPower
hhm wrote:You might want to revise some of the Rainsford stats.
Sorry my bad! Cut and paste gone wrong! Rainsford is yet to play a Test match! Corrected! Thanks :oops:
hhm wrote:I simply do not understand why you have excluded Chigumbura on the basis of being an allrounder(which he's clearly failing at) when, in many spells, he showed that he can outbowl both Jarvis&Vitori (by a distance) during the Bangadesh test match.
I did have an after thought about this too. Although outbowling Jarvis and Vitori is stretching it a bit, Elton's bowling as I have said before is pretty decent, so accept my belated inclusion of Elton.

Chigumbura (age 25):

178 FC wickets from 60 matches at an average of 29.34 and a SR of 86,
88 ODI wickets from 139 matches at an average 39.72 and SR of 40.3 and economy of 5.9
12 Test wickets from 7 matches at an average 49.58 and SR of 86

I think his bowling is decent enough to consider as a specialist bowler, but in MY attack, his inclusion would be to shorten the tail, and at whose expense? Mpofu? I don't think he can do the containing role, Jarvis? He may not give the pace variation and I don't think he is a better strike bowler, Vitori? That takes away the left hand variation and pace, so as much as I conceed he should have been there, I don't see where he would come in. However in ODI as the fifth bowler he then becomes a gem!
hhm wrote:Even Kallis&Watson are in the team as bowlers as much as they are in there as batsmen. Admittedly they are in a far superior class to Elton as far as batting is concerned, but the balance of their sides' attacks hinge on their presence. I'm sorry my friend but if anybody hasn't noticed it yet, as with them, Elton is the first name on the team sheet where our seam attack is concerned. All of Mpofu, Jarvis & Vitori can be dropped but by virtue of his batting plus his good bowling Elton will hardly be dropped.
as explained above in ODI context for me he is the FIRST name on the list, moreso if his batting is on song, I personally have no issues with his bowling, but Test...I'm not convinced...
hhm wrote:Although you mentioned him a bit at the bottom, I'm hugely disappointed that you left out Panyangara in your list of pace bowlers. Probably one of our most experienced Test bowlers as it stands, with an extremely good ODI economy rate considering the calibre of sides he bowled to for the most part. That guy is a proven new ball bowler and you cannot write him off (unless you underestimate the value of taking the new ball). His FC(&ListA) stats so far this season are pretty good, and he's handled a strong Tuskers&Rhinos batting lineup quite well. Remember, it only takes a few more wickets before most guys soften up to him(and Duffin) again, as with Matsi, Ewing & Rainsford of whom many had strictly and rudely written off.

Elton & Panyangara should be there especially if you even consider Shingi, Ncube, Nicholson & Querl. You havent even put him among the challengers!
This one unlike Chigumbura was deliberate, he has less FC experience (27 matches) than Ncube, about the same as Chinhouya, Meth, Vitori and Jarvis, and he is yet to outshine these contemporaries.... on current form isn't terrible but he hasn't been exceptional, as much as I would want to include him I fail on what basis, form isnt exceptional, track record not amazing, form nowhere near Querl or Masakadza, the form bowlers and to a lesser extent Rainsford and Chinouya ...so from my side, no it was not an oversight...

hhm wrote:The stats are there for you to examine so I won't state figures, but my 4 man attack is 1st: Mpofu, Rainsford, Elton, Price (2nd: Jarvis, Panyangara, Vitori, Cremer). If fit Elton will always be in and we should all accept it - afterall he's done very well as a bowler. So it's down to the other two seamers, and I can never choose Jarvis over Mpofu&Rainsford. With better sides to come I would put them ahead. Then again I wouldn't argue too much if the selectors gave him the nod - he's done well so far. Depending on conditions he can be the fourth seamer.
Needless to say we disagree vis Panyangara and Chigumbura, unless you want him at number 7, augmenting an already established 4 man attack as an allrounder...but thanks for your thoughts... :)

Re: Our Test Bowling Attack

Posted: Fri Nov 18, 2011 2:09 pm
by FlowerPower
takleg wrote:I don't think Ian Nicolson deserves to be labelled a 'challenger' as he has been poor this season for the Rhinos.
True... :oops:

Re: Our Test Bowling Attack

Posted: Fri Nov 18, 2011 2:55 pm
by aydee
hhm wrote: Probably one of our most experienced Test bowlers as it stands, with an extremely good ODI economy rate considering the calibre of sides he bowled to for the most part. That guy is a proven new ball bowler
The trouble here is that you are talking about a different Panyangara. Ie, the one who played 6 years ago, before a serious injury that was very nearly career ending. He then went 5 years without playing any cricket of any note, and bowled some pretty average stuff in the Nottinghamshire league in England.

On his initial international form (when he broke into the side straight from the under 19s) he was on course to be a mainstay of the Zim side for a decade plus. Sadly, the injury and abscence from the scene meant that this was not to be. Having returned last year, his first class record for the Mountaineers was extremely poor, so much so that they declined to offer him a new contract! Thankfully he has sown improved form (when he has been fit!) for the Rocks this season. I think everyone would like to see him be the player that it once looked like he could become, but I think he needs to prove at first class level that he deserves it before his name is up for national recall. The first portion of his career should really be of very little relevance at this stage.

Re: Our Test Bowling Attack

Posted: Fri Nov 18, 2011 4:40 pm
by betterdays
I don't think we can afford not to have someone who can hold a bat in the bottom 4 so ...

8.Meth/Chigs (I would go for Chigs myself but Meth has SUCH support from sscricket that, not knowing whether they're related or not, I've heard him)
9. Price
10. Vitori, Jarvis, Rainsford, Ncube, Chatara, Tiripano, Masakadza, Garwe or even Querl (this spot is experimental - if i have to commit: Jarvis)
11. Mpofu

Re: Our Test Bowling Attack

Posted: Fri Nov 18, 2011 6:26 pm
by eugene
I knew hhm would come in and rattle on about Panyangara. Panyangara has done little in the last 6 years. Perhaps we should bring back Eddo Brandes because he looked good 15 years ago.

For my liking the bowling lineup should be
8.Cremer
9. Meth
10. Jarvis
11. Mpofu