Favourites to win the CWC 2018

For discussion of any non-Zimbabwean cricket.
sam_ahm
Posts: 131
Joined: Mon May 07, 2018 4:23 pm

Re: Favourites to win the CWC 2018

Post by sam_ahm » Fri Nov 23, 2018 6:49 pm

I will put England as firm favorites. I don't want them to win, but I think they will.

Obviously I'd love to see us, meaning India, win or otherwise South Africa... I love the likes of Hash, Steyn, Faf, Immi, Rabada... Will be great to see them win.

I like Bangladesh, will be good if they can push other teams and win some games but I still feel winning the entire thing will be difficult for Bangla boys as of now, reason I say this is because they are a spin heavy team and the batting is mercurial. Other than Tamim and Mushfiqur, all other batters, Shakib included, are vulnerable.

I beg to differ on Kriterion's views on Pakistan, they may not be looking good atm, but you never know with them, they are so mercurial they can surprise you big time, they have a very good record in England. Bowling is still very good, if only their batters can come good.

My realistic order of favorites will be:

1) England
2) India
3) South Africa
4) New Zealand
5) Pakistan
6) Australia
7) Bangladesh
8) Windies
9) Afghanistan
10) Sri Lanka

Kriterion_BD
Posts: 3867
Joined: Sat Nov 07, 2009 8:41 am

Re: Favourites to win the CWC 2018

Post by Kriterion_BD » Sat Nov 24, 2018 4:33 am

sam_ahm wrote:
Fri Nov 23, 2018 6:49 pm

I like Bangladesh, will be good if they can push other teams and win some games but I still feel winning the entire thing will be difficult for Bangla boys as of now, reason I say this is because they are a spin heavy team and the batting is mercurial. Other than Tamim and Mushfiqur, all other batters, Shakib included, are vulnerable.

The Bangladeshi top order is fairly strong. Shakib may be "vulnerable" but he's almost as big a match winner as Tamim and Mushfiq with the bat. And then there is Mahmudullah. They may not have fabulous averages, but their value is a lot more than the numbers would indicate. Key point being the virtual knock out match vs NZ at the Champions Trophy. Mahmudullah and Shakib smashed Boult and Southee and the NZ attack.

The weakness for Bangladesh is that we don't have a batting lineup capable of scoring 350+ totals. But on a flat track - and 80-90% of WC matches if not all of them will be played on flat tracks - we have the lineup to consistently score 300 against any attack batting first or second. So our success will hinge on how often we can restrict teams to under 300. Mustafiz will be critical with his breakthrough wickets and death bowling. Miraz's tight off spin will be crucial, especially against teams with lots of left handed batsman. Shakib is Shakib, so thats 30 overs covered. The other 20 overs will decide games for us. Hopefully the likes of Abu Hider, Saifuddin, and perhaps this new 17 year old kid, Nayeem can help solve that problem.
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sam_ahm
Posts: 131
Joined: Mon May 07, 2018 4:23 pm

Re: Favourites to win the CWC 2018

Post by sam_ahm » Sat Nov 24, 2018 7:37 am

Kriterion_BD wrote:
Sat Nov 24, 2018 4:33 am
sam_ahm wrote:
Fri Nov 23, 2018 6:49 pm

I like Bangladesh, will be good if they can push other teams and win some games but I still feel winning the entire thing will be difficult for Bangla boys as of now, reason I say this is because they are a spin heavy team and the batting is mercurial. Other than Tamim and Mushfiqur, all other batters, Shakib included, are vulnerable.

The Bangladeshi top order is fairly strong. Shakib may be "vulnerable" but he's almost as big a match winner as Tamim and Mushfiq with the bat. And then there is Mahmudullah. They may not have fabulous averages, but their value is a lot more than the numbers would indicate. Key point being the virtual knock out match vs NZ at the Champions Trophy. Mahmudullah and Shakib smashed Boult and Southee and the NZ attack.

The weakness for Bangladesh is that we don't have a batting lineup capable of scoring 350+ totals. But on a flat track - and 80-90% of WC matches if not all of them will be played on flat tracks - we have the lineup to consistently score 300 against any attack batting first or second. So our success will hinge on how often we can restrict teams to under 300. Mustafiz will be critical with his breakthrough wickets and death bowling. Miraz's tight off spin will be crucial, especially against teams with lots of left handed batsman. Shakib is Shakib, so thats 30 overs covered. The other 20 overs will decide games for us. Hopefully the likes of Abu Hider, Saifuddin, and perhaps this new 17 year old kid, Nayeem can help solve that problem.


Surely I agree that Bangladesh are stronger than ever before. Lets see how they go, I hope they can keep their nerve in those big games... They need to be mentally strong as well.

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